Midterms 2026 · Interactive map
Election map
Defaults to Party & outlook on state control — who holds power now, who is favored in 2026, and where flip risk is highest. Switch to Senate, governor, or House layers, or flip to Coverage for CladFacts graded-report heat. Tap a state to dig in (sign in free for coverage grades & lean).
- 33Class II Senate states
- 36Governor races 2026
- 5Flip-risk (state control)
- 9States with graded reports
How to use Colors show the 2026 outlook for the selected layer. Striped states = flip risk. Tap a state for who holds power now, the outlook band, and CladFacts race cards — then lock picks on the ballot board.
Tap a state for control, outlook & races
Party map is an editorial snapshot (as of 2026-10-20) — solid/likely/lean/toss-up bands for glanceability. It is not a CladFacts grade, poll average, or prediction market.
Coverage map shows ballot structure and graded-report heat on CladFacts — not who is winning the election.
Election desk
Updates under the map
Recent CladFacts reports on midterm candidates, race coverage, and election process — plus board races with the most heat or the soonest vote. Tap a headline to expand. Grades unlock free with an account.
Latest headlines
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Ossoff demands Collins release records on aide's white nationalist ties
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MSNBC host Lawrence interviewed Sen. Jon Ossoff about his Republican opponent Rep. Mike Collins in the 2026 Georgia Senate race. The segment focused on leaked group-chat messages first reported by Slate in which Collins' then-deputy chief of staff Kip Talley discussed using congressional resources to assist imprisoned Holocaust denier and internet troll Charles Johnson, while briefing white nationalists including Nick Fuentes and Richard Spencer. Ossoff demanded Collins release full records. The broadcast then criticized Collins' Senate Leadership Fund-backed AI-generated ads mocking Ossoff's campaign spending on makeup and hair services, calling them fraudulent and evidence Republicans have 'nothing' to run on. It closed with attacks on Trump's UN General Assembly speech threatening to 'annihilate' Iran, framing it as a war crime, and cited polling claiming majority opposition to the war and Trump's handling.
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Trump admits 'very severe problems' at Rose Garden event amid Iran war and inflation concerns
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The MS NOW segment, hosted by Lawrence, analyzed recent remarks by President Trump, including his Rose Garden admission of having 'very severe problems' (in context of not drinking or using drugs) and repeated references to passing a 'very tough' cognitive test. It covered his Montana rally claims that 'we don't have inflation,' tariffs do not cause inflation, and that the Iran war 'will end very soon' as soon as he wants. The broadcast also reviewed a Georgia Senate debate between incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff and Republican Mike Collins, highlighting Ossoff pressing Collins on the war's costs (21 U.S. deaths, hundreds wounded, higher fuel prices) and alleged ties to extremism, while featuring a Trump-voting truck driver in a Democratic ad complaining about diesel costs.
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Tim Miller Highlights Pardoned Jan. 6 Rioters' Subsequent Crimes, Georgia GOP Senate Candidate
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The Bulwark video compiles Tim Miller's commentary on Republican midterm candidates and a dedicated segment on recidivism among Trump-pardoned January 6 defendants. Miller details six recent cases of rearrests or sentencings for child sex crimes, burglary, threats, and gun offenses, arguing this undermines Republican 'law and order' claims and shows pardons incentivize bad behavior ahead of midterms and 2028. He then launches a series on 'crazy stupid Republicans' for statewide office, starting with Georgia Senate nominee Rep. Mike Collins, citing his conspiracy theories, January 6 support, and ties to white nationalists via campaign associates, family, and former staff. The latter part shifts to Miller responding to criticism of anti-despair messaging aimed at Gen Z, invoking James Baldwin.
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Maine Democrats Demand Answers on Collins-Navatek Contracts After ProPublica Report
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The C-SPAN clip captures a Maine Democratic news conference or event, likely in Portland, responding to a ProPublica investigation published the prior day. Speakers, including references to mayors and the Democratic Senate nominee Troy Jackson, demand full transparency and accountability from Sen. Susan Collins regarding her role as Appropriations Committee chair and alleged ties to defense contractor Navatek (now Martin Defense Group). They claim she steered millions in federal contracts in exchange for campaign contributions funneled through a super PAC and shell company, and that President Trump helped shut down an FBI probe. The event frames this as part of a pattern of betrayal by Collins, urging voters to replace her in November. Sourcing is entirely from Democratic officials and the ProPublica report; no Collins response or independent experts are included. The throughline is that public office is a public trust and Maine taxpayers deserve to know if spending decisions were influenced by donors.
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Donalds Affirms Local Control on Florida Data Centers, Builds on DeSantis Law
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The Fox News segment features Rep. Byron Donalds, the Republican nominee for Florida governor, addressing voter concerns about AI data centers in residential areas. Donalds emphasizes that state law (SB 484, signed by Gov. DeSantis) leaves final decisions on permitting and zoning to local governments, prohibits passing data center costs to residential utility bills, requires specific water permits to protect aquifers (favoring reclaimed water), sets proximity standards, and commissions an impact study. He also outlines his 'Bring Down The Bill' property insurance plan, claiming it would reduce premiums 20% through tort reform, regulatory changes, home hardening, and permitting improvements, while criticizing opponent David Jolly's approach as a government takeover that would double or triple premiums and impose a $1,000 'hurricane tax.' The interview contrasts Donalds' continuity with DeSantis against Jolly and notes Donalds' polling and fundraising lead. Sourcing relies on Donalds' statements, reference to the enacted DeSantis-signed bill, and campaign talking points. No independent experts or opposing voices appear; graphics or external data on polling, donations, or study details are not shown. The throughline defends Donalds' pro-growth stance on data centers while promising local respect and consumer protections.
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Guilfoyle donor alleges $100k Amex request; panel debates Trump Iran war fallout
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The broadcast opened with reaction to a mayor's comments before shifting to political analysis of Trump's campaign trail remarks, their potential damage to GOP candidates in the 2026 midterms, and specific races like Annie Andrews vs. Darline Graham in South Carolina. It then covered national security developments including the abrupt U.S. withdrawal of B-1 bombers from RAF Fairford due to an alleged Iranian threat, operational impacts on strikes against Iran under Operation Epic Fury, a suspected plague death at a Russian lab, and an interview with retiring Sen. Thom Tillis promoting his critical book on Trump advisors. The discussion featured MSNOW analysts Katherine Rampell and Burgess Everett, national security reporter David Rhoad, former CIA Director John Brennan, and Sen. Tillis, relying on recent news reports, polls, and guest accounts with graphics on polling and costs.
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Mike Rogers blasts El-Sayed as anti-American in Ben Shapiro interview
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Ben Shapiro interviews Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers about his tight race against Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed. Rogers argues El-Sayed is the most anti-American candidate in the country, citing his appearances with streamer Hasan Piker, past social media comments on 9/11, a planned speech at an ISNA conference days before the 9/11 anniversary, opposition to symbols like the Fourth of July, and support for Medicare for All. Shapiro and Rogers highlight Democratic reluctance to disavow El-Sayed except for Sen. John Fetterman and note crossover support from Jewish Democrats, Black voters, and figures like Van Jones. The segment ends with Rogers responding to Tucker Carlson's recent praise of El-Sayed as 'America First' and a call for donations to RogersForSenate.com.
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Mini Trump dubs Paxton 'Action Paxton' amid tight Texas Senate race
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The NewsNation segment on Katie Pavlich Tonight features a comedian impersonating 'Mini Trump' and 'Mini Melania' discussing political insults ahead of the 2026 midterms. The guest criticizes Democratic attacks on Republican candidates, coins the nickname 'Action Paxton' for Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (Republican Senate nominee against Democrat James Talarico), and predicts a landslide victory for Paxton and Republicans retaining the House and Senate. The host notes the guest's prior comments on Paxton's appearance and asks about confidence in GOP congressional majorities. Sourcing relies entirely on the guest's personal opinions and anecdotes with no external data, polls, or opposing voices presented. Graphics are minimal; the interview is light-hearted and focuses on nicknames and rally travel rather than policy.
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Harris Campaigns for El-Sayed in Michigan Senate Race, Citing Six-Year Impact
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The Forbes Breaking News clip shows former Vice President Kamala Harris speaking at a September 2026 event in Michigan, likely a roundtable on Black maternal health, endorsing Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed. Harris highlights the six-year term's long-term impact on constituents, recalls sitting next to then-Sen. Gary Peters in the Senate, and describes the Michigan senator's role as carrying a significant state and national voice. She thanks community organizers for their ongoing work and urges the audience to elect El-Sayed. The segment is drawn from a partisan campaign appearance with no opposing voices, named sources limited to Harris herself, and no graphics or independent data presented. It serves as a unity push weeks before the November 3 general election against Republican Mike Rogers in a race rated as a toss-up that could influence Senate control.
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VoteWiser profiles Texas 13th District and Rep. Ronny Jackson ahead of 2026 election
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The VoteWiser video provides a concise district profile for Texas's 13th Congressional District, represented by Republican Ronny Jackson since 2021. It details Jackson's Navy career, service as physician to Presidents Obama and Trump (and earlier Bush-era unit), his current role chairing the House Armed Services Subcommittee on Intelligence and Special Operations, and links to his official committees, sponsored bills, and social media. District statistics from Census data are presented alongside short historical vignettes on landmarks including Palo Duro Canyon, Cadillac Ranch, Pantex Plant, Panhandle-Plains Historical Museum, Rita Blanca National Grassland, Caprock Canyons bison herd, Wichita Falls waterfall, and the XIT Ranch. The segment notes the 2026 general-election matchup between Jackson and Democrat Mark Nair, directing viewers to candidate pages on the VoteWiser site. Sourcing relies on U.S. Census ACS figures, official congressional biographies, and established historical records for each site. No guests appear; the narration is delivered by the VoteWiser owl mascot in a straightforward, educational tone with a throughline of 'know your Congress' via zip-code lookup.
Board watch
Soonest votes and hottest coverage on the CladFacts ballot board (not poll standings). Portraits load when we have a Wikimedia match.
- Georgia U.S. Senate marquee Jon Ossoff vs Mike Collins Both nominees locked.
- Florida Governor watch Byron Donalds vs David Jolly Open seat nominees locked.
- South Carolina U.S. Senate watch Darline Graham vs Annie Andrews Appointed after Lindsey Graham death; won runoff.
- Pennsylvania Governor marquee Josh Shapiro vs Stacy Garrity Shapiro incumbent vs Garrity nominee.
- Arizona Governor marquee Katie Hobbs vs Andy Biggs Hobbs incumbent vs Biggs nominee.
- Michigan Governor watch Jocelyn Benson vs John James Open seat; nominees locked.
- Nevada Governor watch Joe Lombardo vs Aaron Ford Lombardo incumbent vs Ford nominee.
- Nebraska U.S. Senate lean Pete Ricketts vs Democratic field (NE) Incumbent Ricketts vs Dem field.
- New Hampshire U.S. Senate watch Chris Pappas vs John E. Sununu Nominees locked after Sept 8 primaries.
- Michigan U.S. Senate marquee Abdul El-Sayed vs Mike Rogers Open seat nominees locked.
Open ballot board → · Community votes
Flip-risk snapshot
5 states marked flip risk on the state-control outlook (favored party differs from who holds power, or toss-up). Snapshot as of 2026-10-20 — editorial bands, not CladFacts grades.
Jump to a state
Can’t tap the map? Pick a state here — same detail panel opens.
Guide How to read these maps
- Party & outlook (default) — who holds the seat/control now, Cook-style solid/likely/lean/toss-up bands for 2026, and flip-risk striping when the favored party differs from the holder. Editorial snapshot as of 2026-10-20.
- State control (default layer) — simplified lean of governor + legislature for the whole state. Switch to Senate, governor, or House for office-specific outlooks.
- Coverage map — ballot structure + CladFacts graded-report heat. Not a forecast of who wins.
- Class II Senate = one-third of the chamber up in 2026 (Art. I §3). Candidate map verified 2026-10-21 (live auditor overlay).
- House = all 435 seats every midterm; colors are statewide lean only, not districts.
- Your picks — after exploring, lock winners on the ballot board (account required). Community tallies stay anonymous.
Dig deeper: ballot board · community votes · politician cards · first-time voter guide. Map paths: Wikimedia Commons blank US map (public domain).