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Trump approval hits 33% as Iran war drags into sixth month

Source: The Telegraph · All The Telegraph reports

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Summary

This Telegraph bonus episode examines how the ongoing US-Iran war is influencing the November 2026 midterm elections. Hosts and Washington correspondents Ben Smith and Poppy Wood discuss Trump's record-low approval ratings, rising oil prices from Strait of Hormuz disruptions, chaos and leadership turnover at the Pentagon under Secretary Pete Hegseth, and voter sentiment in the border town of Laredo, Texas. The segment explores Republican candidates' reluctance to distance from Trump, Democratic focus on affordability and a generational shift on Israel policy, and immigration enforcement's local effects.

Reporting draws on Reuters reports, unnamed Republican sources, local interviews in Laredo, and references to Pentagon leaks and classified documents later removed from systems. Guests highlight economic fallout, military morale concerns, and how the war has amplified existing second-term headwinds for Trump.

Editorial Assessment

The claims largely hold up against contemporaneous polling and reporting: Trump's approval has hovered in the low-to-mid 30s throughout much of 2026 amid the Iran conflict, with strong disapproval of his war handling; Brent crude has traded above $90 amid renewed disruptions. Border crossing statistics align with official CBP data showing sharp declines under Trump policies. Pentagon turmoil, including Army Secretary Driscoll's resignation and dozens of senior officer departures under Hegseth, is corroborated by multiple outlets. Viewers may miss broader context that economic discontent predates the current flare-up, that midterm outcomes depend on many races beyond Texas, and that public fatigue with foreign wars is bipartisan. The framing leans toward portraying the war as a self-inflicted political wound for Republicans, with limited exploration of strategic rationales for preventing Iranian nuclear capability or counter-views on immigration gains.

Key Moments

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Trump's approval rating has reached a record low of 33%, with two-thirds holding a negative view of his handling of the Iran war

Multiple polls from Reuters/Ipsos, UMass Amherst, AP-NORC and others in mid-2026 show approval in the 32-37% range, with disapproval of Iran handling often exceeding 65%.

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Oil prices passed the $90 a barrel mark for Brent crude due to fighting in the Strait of Hormuz

Brent crude traded above $90-$96 in late August/early September 2026 amid renewed attacks and shipping disruptions.

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Laredo, Texas (95% Latino) voted Republican for the first time in 100 years in 2024, swinging to Trump with just over 50%

Webb County (Laredo) gave Trump 50.6% in 2024, a first in decades for the historically Democratic area.

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Illegal border crossings dropped dramatically under Trump, from peaks of 250,000 in a month under Biden to 6,000 in June

CBP data confirms southwest border apprehensions fell to historic lows in 2025-2026, with June figures in the low thousands.

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Pentagon in chaos with Army Secretary Dan Driscoll resigning after clashes with Pete Hegseth; 80 senior officers pushed out, munitions drained, low morale

Reports from NYT, FT, Axios and others confirm Driscoll's resignation, Hegseth's purge of dozens of generals/admirals, and significant depletion of Patriots, ATACMS and other munitions after six months of war.

Notable Concerns

  • Over-attribution of approval decline solely to the war when polls show cost-of-living concerns and second-term fatigue as co-factors
  • Limited discussion of countervailing successes cited by the administration, such as reduced border crossings
  • Reliance on anonymous sources and leaks for Pentagon claims without full official rebuttal

Sources Consulted

  1. The 2026 Midterms: Key Dates and Events
  2. Few in US say Iran war was worth it; Trump approval ties lowest of term, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds
  3. Trump’s Approval Holds at Record Low as US Support for Iran War Falls, Reuters Ipsos Poll Finds
  4. Oil Prices Jump After Attack Halts Shipping in Strait of Hormuz
  5. Global Oil Price Rises to $90 a Barrel After U.S. and Iran Trade Attacks
  6. Trump beats Harris in Democratic stronghold of Webb Co. Texas
  7. Trump administration delivers 14 straight months of zero releases at the border
  8. Pentagon turmoil deepens as Hegseth consolidates control
  9. Hegseth Targets 7 More Officers as His Frustrated Army Secretary Quits
  10. Exclusive-US Has Used 'Virtually All' of Its Long-Range Precision Missiles During Iran War, Sources Say